GROK Fact Check: Inflation has fallen from 17% a half century ago under coalition to 3.4 % under Labor (Australia) critique. Particularly the comparable inflation rates of OECD nations. A graphs revealing another Albanese's Lie.
The slogan is a scoreboard, not an explanation. The 17% peak is real. Pinning it on “the Coalition,” and the later fall on “Labor,” is not.
**The 17% was not a Coalition peak.** Year-ended CPI hit **17.7% in March 1975 and 17.0% in June 1975** — during the Whitlam Labor government (December 1972–November 1975). Fraser’s Coalition took office on 11 November 1975. A half-century before September 2026 is 1976: Fraser was already PM, and inflation was still **12–14% year-ended** (calendar 1976 about **13.3%**).
Annual CPI was about **15.4% in 1974 and 15.2% in 1975**. The “17%” figure is the quarterly year-ended peak, not a Coalition vintage.
**3.4% is a selected print, not the live rate.** Headline CPI was **3.4% in November 2025**. The latest ABS print is **3.5% in the year to July 2026**; trimmed mean (the RBA’s preferred underlying measure) is **3.6%** — still above the 2–3% target. June 2026 was **3.8%**. Housing is still the main domestic driver.
The long decline is real. The party label is the sleight of hand.
### What actually changed
ABS splits the CPI era into four phases: post-war boom, the low-inflation stretch to 1972, **high inflation from 1973 to 1990**, then the inflation-targeting era after 1993. The mid-1970s spike was not an Australian Coalition special:
- First OPEC shock (1973–74), then the second (1979–80)
- A wage-price spiral (equal-pay decisions, public-sector wages, then wage indexation from 1975 that locked CPI into pay)
- Large fiscal expansion under Whitlam on top of an already overheating economy
Fraser did not break that spiral. Neither did the first years of Hawke. Inflation stayed in high single digits through the 1980s. The decisive break was the early-1990s recession, the Accords, and then **RBA inflation targeting from 1993** (independence later formalised). From then on both parties governed inside a 2–3% regime. That is why the line is flat after the early 1990s, through Howard, Rudd/Gillard, Abbott–Morrison, and Albanese.
Attributing a 50-year global regime shift to whichever party happens to be in office in 2026 is the same trick as blaming Morrison for OPEC or crediting Whitlam for the Korean War boom.
### OECD: Australia was not unique then, and is not uniquely virtuous now
In 1975 almost the entire club had double-digit or high single-digit inflation. Australia was **high, not an outlier**. The UK was worse; Germany was better. The later collapse happened everywhere that adopted tight money and an independent inflation-targeting central bank.
| | 1975 annual CPI | June 2026 year-ended |
| United Kingdom. | 24.2% | 2.6% |
| Italy. | 17.0% | 3.0% |
| **Australia** | **15.2%** | **3.8%** |
| France. | 11.7% | 1.8% |
| Japan. | 11.7% | 1.7% |
| OECD total. | 11.9% | 4.2% |
| Canada. | 10.7% | 2.8% |
| United States. | 9.1% | 3.5% |
| Germany. | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| G7. 11.1% | 3.0% |
1975 from the OECD historical CPI compilation; June 2026 from the OECD August 2026 consumer-prices release (Australia’s 3.8% is the ABS June print; July was 3.5%).
The OECD aggregate in 2026 is pulled up by members such as Türkiye. Among close peers, Australia in mid-2026 sat **a bit above the G7 and euro area, roughly in line with the United States, above Canada, the UK, Germany, France and Japan**. That is mid-pack among rich countries after a shared energy shock — not a unique Labor dividend.
### The recent episode, without the slogan
The post-COVID spike was also global. Australia’s quarterly year-ended CPI peaked at **7.8% in December 2022** — after the May 2022 change of government, from a shock that began under the Coalition (supply chains, then Ukraine). It then fell under Labor as it fell in other inflation-targeting countries, as the RBA tightened. Claiming the whole 17% → 3.4% path as a Labor achievement ignores:
- who was in office at the 1975 peak
- that Fraser, Hawke and Keating all governed with high inflation
- that the institutional fix is the RBA target, not the party room
- that 3.5–3.6% in 2026 is still **above target** and **not low by current G7 standards**
A fair sentence: *Australian inflation, like inflation in the rest of the OECD, fell from mid-teens in the mid-1970s to the low single digits once oil shocks faded and independent inflation targeting stuck. The present government is managing a rate that has come down from the 2022 peak but is still a little high versus the target and versus several peer economies.* That is less useful on a corflute. It is closer to the data.


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